September 23, 2008

Election Predictions

For the good of the order, a presidential election prediction...

Obama wins all the Kerry states plus Colorado, Iowa, and New Mexico and becomes the next president of the United States.

I also project that mistakes in my prediction would favor Obama. He might also carry Ohio, Nevada, and Virginia--guaranteeing an electoral college landslide and a popular vote win, as well as building a strong case for the kind of enduring, demographics-fueled Democratic majority described in The Emerging Democratic Majority by John Judis and Ruy Teixeira.